The concept behind the main environmental risks covers risks related to the impact of the Group’s business activities on its ecosystem and the risks of the impact of climate change in the short and medium-term on its business model, activity and financial performance.
The Group has identified four main risks and three opportunities relating to the physical and transition-related risks associated with climate change. There is the potential for these risks to have consequences on the value chain, business activities and the development of the Group’s strategy.
The in-depth analyses cover the identification of and a dynamic approach to these risks, the evaluation of their impacts using scenarios developed on two assumptions based on the 1.5°C and 3–4°C paths, and the integration of political, economic, social, technological, environmental and legal trends (PESTEL analysis).
These analyses were carried out according to the RCP 1.9 andRCP8.5 (1) scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to identify and assess the physical and transitional risks associated with climate change.
Two timeframes were considered: a medium-term 2030timeframe and a long-term 2050 timeframe with the aim of identifying impacts associated with climate assumptions at these dates.
Business experts from the Purchasing, Packaging, Logistics, Research & Innovation, Sustainable Development, Prospective and Consumer Studies teams were called on for this risk and opportunities analysis.
Studies have been conducted on the impact of the supply of plant-based raw materials on climate change.
Assumptions have been made on: the paths of carbon pricing, the expectations of stakeholders and consumer preferences. These assumptions represent the main exposure factors of L’Oréal to climate transition risks.
This work enables the Group to adapt its policies and define its strategic objectives in regard to the risks and opportunities associated with global warming. Notably, the results of this study and the action plans were presented to the Chief Sustainability Officer, the Chief Financial Officer and the Audit Committee.
The Group’s risk review includes physical risks and transition risks associated with Operations and changes in its value chain and ecosystem. Risks as diverse as those associated with extreme weather events on the Group’s infrastructures, or the risks inherent in the supply chain, those inherent in the scarcity of resources, carbon pricing (taxes, emissions trading schemes)and their financial impacts or those related to the Group’s reputation and consumer expectations are analysed. They lead to impact assessment procedures as part of the scenarios created and contribute to defining strategic orientations.
The following main risks and opportunities were studied.
Risk 1: regulations concerning carbon pricing mechanisms(specific taxes on fossil fuels, carbon taxes, and emissions trading schemes) are a major challenge for the Group and its suppliers. In this context, an increase in the price per tonne of direct greenhouse gas emissions for suppliers could be reflected in the sale prices of their products and services and have an impact on L’Oréal’s operating costs. In order to mitigate this risk, the Group is working with its suppliers, in particular through the CDP Supply Chain, to ensure they devise and implement emissions reduction targets and associated action plans (see section 4.3.1.2).
Risk 2: changes in consumer preferences towards consumption choices increasingly influenced by the carbon footprint of products and the overall climate performance of plants could have a material financial impact, progressively and in the medium-term, for L’Oréal. If this risk was insufficiently managed, the reduction in consumer demand could potentially have a negative impact on revenue for L’Oréal. To prevent this risk, the Group’s strategy is to continue to reduce the carbon footprint of its products and enable consumers to make informed purchasing decisions. They will be informed in a way that is both transparent and responds to their expectations of the challenges of sustainable development (see section 4.3.1.3.2). The study also took into account the more general assumptions associated with the company’s transformation as well as changes in consumer purchasing power, according to the scenarios considered.
Risk 3: as a world leader in cosmetics, L’Oréal is dependent upon the availability of the materials used for its product packaging. The transition to a low-carbon economy is accompanied by developments in the design of more sustainable and innovative packaging and materials. Increased competition in the sustainable packaging materials market, resulting in a shortage of associated materials, could have an impact on L’Oréal. These factors may result in an increase in the average price of packaging materials and in production costs.
(1) Representative Concentration Pathways [RCP] – AR6.
